This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Nuggets/Heat.

Denver comes in desperate for a victory after six straight losses. It's struggled defensively of late, as it's seen the total go OVER in four straight.

The good news for us? We're going to play the UNDER here. As note, the Nuggets have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last nine after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row.

This is the opener of a tough seven-game road trip for the Nuggets. Whoever gets the start today, I expect a much more concerted effort on the defensive end tonight from the entire team after three straight terrible performances. Really uncharacteristic of this Denver team to say the last, whether Jokic is playing or not.

Miami plays with revenge here after falling 113-96 at Denver at the start of the month.

Two nights after falling 113-101 at Minnesota, the Heat bounched back with a 107-104 road win at Chicago.

Denver has a slew of injuries to deal with right now, so it's hard to know where its offense will come today.

I expect a tightly contested battle here, but one that falls well UNDER once the final horn blares.

Good luck, NP