This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Bears/Bucs.

Chicago is 3-3, but it'll be eager to get back into the winners circle after last week's 24-14 home loss to the Packers.

The Bears have now seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight, which is important here as Chicago has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row.

Tampa's seen the total go UNDER in two of its last three, including in last weekend's 28-22 win over the Eagles (I had the UNDER in that one.)

I think Brady and company will come in focused on the task at hand here though, as they face a tough two-game road trek next, starting at New Orleans next weekend.

Situationally I think this one sets up as "SHOOTOUT," rather than a "CHESS MATCH."

But also note that Tampa has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 12 home games against conference opponents as a favorite in the -6.5 to -9.5 points range.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP