This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas State.

I got down early and have an unfavorable line before kick-off, but regardless, I think that Baylor will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow Texas State to sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

Both teams were terrible last year, each should improve this season. Last year Baylor was 2-7 and Texas State was 2-10.

Baylor has a new head coach in Dave Arranda, and his offense struggled under his first year last season. Overall the Bears averaged just 23.3 points and 90.3 rushing yards per contest.

QB Charlie Brewer is gone, so Gerry Bohanon and Jacob Zeno are expected to split time in the early going. The defense was a strength, despite allowing 29.3 PPG last year.

Texas State averaged 27.2 PPG last year. QB Brady McBride is back. He has 1,925 passing yards and 17 TD's last year.

There's literally only one way the defense can go after allowing 38.2 PPG last season.

With their bye next week, followed by a game at Kansas two weeks from now, I say that the visiting side gets caught looking ahead.

No outright, but closer than expected.

Grab the points, the play is TEXAS STATE.

Good luck, NP