AFTERNOON TOP AL TOTAL ~ 139-111 ALL MLB Y-T-D!
(MLB) Houston vs. Seattle,
Total: 8.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* AFTERNOON TOP AL TOTAL on the OVER Astros/Mariners.

Both teams have seen the UNDER hit three times in a row, but I say the value lies the other way this afternoon.

The bottom line is, I don't trust either starting pitcher.

Jake Odorizzi is 6-6 with a 4.46 ERA for the Astros. The veteran has actually been better of late, but he still owns a 5.16 ERA on the road, compared to a 3.64 at home.

The home side goes with Logan Gilbert, who is 5-5 with a 5.44 ERA. He most recently was rocked for five runs off nine hits over four innings in a no-decision to the soft-hitting Royals on Friday. Over his last three starts he's conceded five home runs.

He's also just 1-3 with a 5.72 ERA at home.

Look for these two volatile starting pitchers to get the hook early and for this total to eclipse the posted number as it comes down the stretch.

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP