10* AFTERNOON TOP NL TOTAL (118-96 MLB Y-T-D!)
(MLB) Miami vs. San Diego,
Total: 8.00 | -109.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOP NL TOTAL on the UNDER Marlins/Padres.

Miami has seen the total go OVER in five straight. The first two games of this series have flown OVER th enumber.

San Diego won the first game 8-3 and then it hung on for a 6-5 victory yesterday.

I think that Wednesday's contest finally sets up as more of a DUEL.

The Marlins go with Sandy Alcantara, who is 6-10 with a 3.70 ERA. That's despite allowing ten runs on ten hits over four innings in a loss at Coors Field.

That outlier aside, Alcantara has been a consistent bright spot for the Marlins this season. Note that he's 3-3 with a 1.70 ERA in all DAY games this year.

The Padres go with Ryan Weathers, who is 4-4 with a 4.26 ERA. He is coming off a loss against the Rockies as well, allowing eight runs off eight hits. The eight runs allowed were double his previous-high given up this season.

Starts like that for both Alcantara and Weathers have been few and far between. I think each bounces back here.

Finally, note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

I like both starters to bounce back, to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay UNDER the posted number.

Good luck, NP