This is a 10* MAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Bowling Green.

I think Toledo gets caught "looking past" 10-9 Bowling Green.

The Green Falcons are out to snap a six-game slide. Overall Bowling Green averages 81.6 PPG, while conceding only 73.3.

The Rockets have won 13 of their last 15 games. Toledo averages 75 PPG, while conceding just 68.6.

This is a revenge game for Bowling Green, which lost by 18 to Toledo at home earlier in the year.

Toledo lost 81-67 at Ball State as an 8.5 point favorite in its last outing and I expect that inconsistency to carry over again here vs. this hungry Falcons side.

Note as well that Bowling Green is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight ATS losses in a row.

I'm not going to predict a massive upset here, but I am expecting a closer game than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe.

I'm going to grab the points!

Good luck, NP