This is a 10* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the OVER Oregon/Iowa State.

I've gone back and forth on this total a lot over the last couple of days, but in the end now I expect a faster paced game and I look for this one to sneak "over" once it's all said and done.

Heading into the Big 12 Championship Game, Iowa State was ranked sixth in the country and it had a legitimate shot at College Football Playoff spot. It lost to Oklahoma, but previous to that it had won five straight by an average of 24.2 PPG.

The Ducks are obviously lucky to be here. That said, Oregon made the most of its opportunity in the PAC 12 Championship game over the Trojans last Friday and I expect the Ducks to use a duplicate game-plan here.

Oregon exploded for a 31-24 win over the Trojans and clearly the Ducks will be out to push the pace and make the Cyclones try to play from behind. If that's the case, Iowa State's normally turnover-free offense will be forced into detrimental situations.

I look for this one to fly over as the game comes down the stretch!

Good luck, NP