Nevada may be at home but having a new coach, a all-new receiving corps and a slew of new starters on both sides of the ball and I expect it to be a long year for them. The Wolf Pack in 19 home games as a double-digit underdog are just 4-15 ATS. SMU is moving to a new conference but bring back plenty of experienced options on both sides of the ball. Look for SMU to run away with the game in a big way and cruise to a season-opening victory on Saturday night.