The Blue Jays offense has scored 15 runs on 26 hits in their last 3 home wins and tonight's starter Jose Berrios projects for 2.3 earned runs with a 3.34 ERA and 1.12 WHIP .

He has an ERA of 2.83 during home games and an ERA of 3.23 since the All-Star break. The Reds have struggled versus the American League as they average .188 during that stretch. I expect Cincinnati to really struggle and perform poorly. They are also starting Carson Spiers, who holds a 6.30 ERA during road games.

Take Toronto to win this one.