Another ugly dog but we like the Patriots here to hang tough. Belichick has been in this spot many many times before so he is no stranger to this. First lets point out that we have a very low total here of 39 so points will be at a premium and we are getting a quarter of the points before the game even starts. Belichick as an underdog after a loss is 11-1 ATS (92%). The Pats QB Hoyer is an experienced backup and familiar the game plan here and team offense. We all know what Bill will do here and that is run, run, run. He will eat the clock and keep Rodgers off the field.
Lastly, the Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.