The Mavericks have been great with their backs against the wall this season and there were a lot of positives to take away in Game 3. They started out very slow and couldn't recover.

This time around, I expect Dallas to play better and defend the ball well, while Luka has his shot down and Dinwiddie and Brunson have been chipping in and playing well.

Dallas is 19-5 ATS after being held to 100 points or less this season, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 10 points on average in that situation.

The Mavericks have also been better at home this season while Golden State is just 9-8 against the spread as road underdogs compared to Dallas being 19-12 ATS as home favorites. Lets back Dallas at home to avoid the sweep and get a win here at home.