Butler is the better team but not 12.5 pts better.
The Bulldogs lost two starters, but both were 4 year players that departed as the schools #2 all-time scorer and the best defensive player. Butler is still getting overvalued on reputation as they have gone 0-3 ATS their last 3 games all as a favorite and while they won and covered their opener they shot over 60% in that game. I really like the way Middle Tenn St played Virginia last night shooting 39% against the country's best defense. I expect them to play better vs Butler and I'll take the underdog here with Middle Tenn St.