With the long layoff I expect Florida to spend a lot of time working on their offense. Their defense is tough as nails and I like Florida in this underdog spot on Friday.
The Gators defense could win this game by themselves and I see the Gators defense causing major problems for Michigan. If Michigan can't move the ball then I see turnovers being the factor on who wins this game and with the Gators defense I see them forcing some turnovers in the game.
Treon Harris the Florida QB is a duel threat and his shiftiness will need to be accounted for by Michigan both on the planned keep and the scramble to throw. Kelvin Taylor has been a bit of a plodder while averaging just 4.0 yards per carry but he does have 13 rushing scores to lead Florida so look for him to get his chances if the Gators get the ball in close.
Florida is 5-1 ATS when playing on two weeks or more to prep and I'll back them here as a dog.