The Cubs are a solid 6-4 their last 10 while the Red Stockings have dropped two straight, both as big chalks (-3.9 units). Mike Leake has shown leakage with an ERA of 6.44 his last five starts. Last five games Chicago has a slugging percentage of .470 to just .377 for the big fat chalks. In their last 10 games it is a .466 to .412 edge.

The Cubs and Jeff Samardzija are both better on the road than at home. The Cubs have a road units won of +11.8. Samardzija has an OBP against of .290 on the road compared to .348 at home. The ERA is markedly superior on the road at 1.16 compared to 4.96 at home. Chicago has won 4-of-5 as underdogs. Cincy is 1-5 to teams with a losing record.