Fading teams well established as high quality is 53-18. This includes 4-1 in the playoffs. Good teams off win as a home underdog are 111-60 go-against, 9-4 in postseason. Road favorites despite splits that imply they should be underdogs are 125-79. Yes, there are extenuating circumstances as there generally will be under such. I am still not sold on Nick Foles, especially against the best defensive team he's seen.