The better team in a short week unless they had substantially more snaps previous week is 67-32. Fading non-elite prime-time teams is 108-73. We have several great angles in each sport that tell us to listen to the emphatic statement oddsmakers are making. In professional sports (college, the unbalanced schedules make it tougher) that when a home team has much better home splits than the road team does road splits, yet the road team is still a road favorite, go with that road favorite. Our NFL angle is 137-102/