Wise Guy
(NFL) Miami vs. San Diego,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -108.00 Miami (Away)
Result: Win
Late Kickoff Game of the Year

An angle that basically says to go with quality underdogs in specific situations is a stunning 36-3 for 92.3 percent. In fact, they are 25-16 for 61 percent SU. Again, in all cases the team was a road underdog. Actually at +3 or more they are 36-2 and 25-15!

Another says a fairly big road underdog with a better straight up record, yet much worse home/road splits is a 58.4 percent play. Other combos that apply put it above 60 percent. Also teams that have won 2-of-3 SU and are fairly big favorites are a go-against of 66-35 and another database has it even higher.

Finally, this is a battle of two of our predictably teams. Anytime there is an underdog higher than the normal home field advantage, the underdog is the bet.