Yes I am betting the low total over, but I cannot ignore that Jake Arrieta has one of the two best second halves in MLB history. He was 5-0 with an 0.39 ERA in 46 innings last month. Arrieta struck out 46 while allowing 22 hits and walking only four. Arrieta finished the regular season with 22 scoreless innings.

The Cubs have won nine straight road games and 45-18 overall. Pittsburgh is 1-5 home to teams with a winning record.