Wise Guy
(NFL) Detroit vs. Seattle,
Point Spread: 10.00 | -110.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Win
NF Interconference Game of the Year

Running back Ameer Abdullah leads the Lions with a mere 82 yards on the ground, but he is better than that.

Stafford has thrown five interceptions in three games after tossing 12 last season, and he has lost a fumble. That has resulted in a quarterback rating of 78.7, lower than any season since his rookie year in 2009. He is the lowest-rated NFL quarterback by Pro Football Focus.

So it is a misprint, right? That sounds like perfect reason to fade Detroit. Only new clients will bemuse that. This is truly a classic predictably unpredictable situation for us. We have had a nice list of QBs over the years that as it applies here says when those mega-talented perennial underacheivers are struggling and get big points, to bet on them. Stafford, like so many other QBs we have exploited over the years is truly a win you least expect it, expect it.

With Golden Tate and Calvin Johnson at his disposal, this is why he will always be a starting QB. His talent means as soon as he is counted out, he bounces back.

Running back Marshawn Lynch is questionable and many sources saying doubtful.
Replacement Thomas Rawls rushed for 104 yards on 16 carries, with 98 of those coming in the second half, but there is always point of diminishing return of replacements.

Seattle has the makings a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams. Seattle will lead the league in wins in which they do not cover. The price is just too high.