The Giants are much better than their record as their two losses by combined five points. Yes they made a ton of mistakes, but they are correctable ones. Winless home favorites 3.5 or more (at least two losses) is 39-27.

Last week was a great, I mean truly great spot for the Redskins against the Rams. We explained in detail in our analysis when we had them as our only moneyline pick, a 145 underdog winner.

The Giants are without question the better team and home field advantage alone is worth three points. They fact the superior home team is not laying more is a result of the very deceptive records.

We also have an angle that is a notch above 60 percent that uses the oddsmakers knowledge against them. It has to do with a combo of being a favorite despite a substantially smaller winning percentage.