When a team is off a great rushing game and several other parameters, it has gone under 313-199-14. Biggest sharp versus square total this year. This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

We have reduced the number of such picks after refining the metrics to raise the winning percentage. In short we have more sources that must validate it is widely authenticated.

Yes TCU is young on defense because of injuries, but young players play much better at home and a great chance to prove their worth against overmatched team.

SMU already faced Baylor, so have experience with high-powered offense.