Going with a team averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases per game versus an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA of 2.50 or less in his last three starts is 345-218 +108.2 including 9-0 this season. The Mets have won three straight by a combined 21-3. St. Louis has dropped 6-of-9. The Mets are an uncanny 16-4 at home this season.

St. Louis has lost six straight with Michael Wacha road favorites of 150 or less.