This is one of our combination and compilation picks. It is not so much that one of our proven metrics screams a side, but yet they all point one way. It is a bit of a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.
We have reduced the number of such picks after refining the metrics to raise the winning percentage. In short we have more sources that must validate it is widely authenticated.

Also the sample size is small, but just about any angle that deals with a team off consecutive or three straight wins as underdogs in the postseason says to fade said team.

Also Golden State is starting to peak after a sluggish start but is in statement mode as they still have something to prove with no track record before this season. But they now have the second best net rating in the postseason at 8.5. Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions.

Houston is -.9 easily the worst of the remaining teams. They also have a quick turnaround following the crazy series against the Clippers. Yep, we will lay the lumber.