Major
(MLB) St. Louis vs. NY Mets,
Money Line: -137.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Win
Going with a team averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases per game versus an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.50 or less in his last three starts is 344-218 +107.2 units. It is 8-0 this year.

The Mets are 15-4 at home this season, 17-4 since last year. Going back to last year, John Lackey has lost 7-of-8 on the road (team record) and his road ERA this year is 5.82.