The Brewers are averaging 7.2 runs in their last 10 road games (Still 5.9 runs in the last 9 games if you take away the 19 run outbreak Friday). They will be facing a Pirates team that has allowed at least five runs in seven of Jose Quintana's last eight starts.
The Pirates are averaging 5.8 runs in their last 10 home games and will be facing Brandon Woodruff who has posted a 6.92 ERA in six road starts this season.

The over 4-0 in the last four Pittsburgh home games, the over 4-0 in the last four Brewers road games. The over is also 8-0-1 in the Brewers' last nine games overall. The total of 7.5 is too low here.