I love the Browns this week, who are tied for an NFL-best 5-1 ATS at home. Browns are coming off back-to-back double-digit losses that were much closer than the final score showed. The last two games were out west now, Browns back at home in what is close to a must-win game for them. The Browns defense should be less banged up than last week and facing C.J. Beathard, who is 2-10 as a starter or a less than 100% Trevor Lawerence. Jags struggle to run the ball, which won't help in what could be a rainy game.
Juicer than I prefer, but I don't see Cleveland losing, and points could be hard to come by.
2.5% on Cleveland to win.