T.M. Selection: Purdue - ATS

1) I like Purdue to stay within single digits in this game against Michigan State on Friday, November 22nd. The line looks like a trap line to take the Spartans considering the Boilermakers are the worst team in the Big Ten and Michigan State still needs two wins for bowl eligibility. It is still just too many points and, in terms of the trap, I am not falling for it!

2) The Boilermakers will bring their top effort this week in response to having two of their worst defeats of the season in B2B weeks against two of the top teams in the country. Purdue will fare much better against a much weaker foe here and it is going to be tough for the Spartans to pull away in this one!

3) In their last two games against teams not ranked in the top five in the country, the Boilermakrs have a pair of OT losses and I project this one to be a tight battle. The Spartans have lost 6 of 7 games and their 3 wins against non-FCS schools (so, excluding Prairie View A & M) have been by an average margin of just 7 points. None of those 3 wins were by more than 12 points. Michigan State over-priced!

T.M. Prediction: 26-21 Michigan State

Line: +14