T.M. Selection: Air Force - ATS

1) I like Air Force to stay within single digits in this game against Baylor on Saturday, September 14th. The line looks like a trap line to take the Bears considering how bad the Falcons have looked and I am not falling for it!

2) This line got steamed when it was lower because of the reaction to a poor season start for AF. This has created strong big dog value on a Falcons team that, as an Academy school, is known for discipline and effort. It is going to be tough for the Bears to pull away in this one!

3) Baylor has looked much better than Air Force early this season but this Bears team is not as strong as they have been in the past and they just lost by double digits at Utah. The total on this game is only around 41. Doing the math here on a spread of 17 that would mean a 29-12 type of game. I feel strongly Air Force can do much more than 12 points in this match-up and their D will be stronger here after getting embarrassed early this season. Baylor over-priced!

T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Baylor

Line: +17