The SEC invades the Big 12 in this interesting matchup on Saturday night and in my opinion, this total is too high. Arizona State is off a dominant 48-7 win over Wyoming at home last week, looking pretty good on both sides of the ball in its Big 12 debut. It has no issues at all in covering the 6.5-point spread, but as good as it looked offensively, it was likely even better on the defensive side of the ball in holding the Cowboys to just the one TD. The Sun Devils are improved defensively from last year, bigger and deeper on that side of the ball. I fully expect last week's strong defensive play to carry over here at home vs. this opponent who is also tough on that side of the ball. Mississippi State was a 26.5-point favorite in its home game vs. Eastern Kentucky and it went on to annihilate its opponent by a score of 56-7. The Bulldogs also looked fantastic on both sides of the ball, but now here on the road for the first time, I say it's Mississippi State's offense, still in its first year in a new system and working with a brand new offensive line, that takes a step back. The under has been highly profitable in ASU non-conference home games over the past several seasons and this number gives a lot of room to work with. Play on the Under.