ROGERS' 7-GAME NCAAF REPORT ***HIGH NOON KICK-OFF!***
(NCAAF) Troy vs. Georgia State,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -110.00 Georgia State (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: This is a big game for both teams. Troy is 3-3 and desperate to string some wins together. Georiga State is 5-3 and can become eligible with one last victory. What better time than right now?! Troy enters off a 37-13 win over South Alabama, while Georgia State got the better of Army 28-21. Troy is led by QB Kaleb Barker and the Trojans are putting up a decent 449.2 yards of offense per game. Unfortunately though Troy has been an absolute train wreck on the other side of the ball, ranked 120th out of 130 FBS teams in stopping the pass, allowing 287.7 YPG.

The pick: Georgia State is led by senior QB Dan Ellington, who had three TD passes vs. a tough Army defense last weekend. So far Ellington has a strong 16:3 TD:INT this year and I think he'll be the difference maker in this one. Also note that the Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after posting 28 points or more in their previous game, while Troy is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games after scoring 35 points or more while also covering in its previous outing. This one has home side rout written all over it.

8* play on Georgia State.