The set-up: The Rockets scrapped tooth and nail in their 126-121 OT Game 3 victory to pull the series to 2-1 in favor of the Warriors. The contest would have gone "over" the number whether the game went to OT or not and I expect a similar style of "shootout" in Game 4 as well. The Nuggets and Blazers went to four OT's in their Game 3 and they came out with a lot of energy in Game 4 last night, as that total easily blasted past the posted number as well. And I expect a similar sort of situation here as well. Golden State played well defensively at home in Game's 1 and 2, but clearly the Rockets are out to push the pace at home, especially now as they try to close the gap and even the series. From a situational stand point, there's no question that this one sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Golden State has seen the total go "over" the number in 21 of its last 32 when leading in a playoff series, while Houston has seen the total fly "over" in four of its last five when trailing in a playoff series. This one has "over" written all over it.

GSW/Rockets OVER

10* play