The set-up: Colorado may have won four straight, but Nashville comes in having won six straight at home. The Avs could be getting "lucky" of late as well, as note that the power play is just 1 for 9 in its last two games, having gone 9 of 13 in chances over the previous five. Note that Avs' net minder Varlamov is a pedestrian 11-12-2 with a 3.28 GAA lifetime against the Predators. The home side counters with Pekka Rinne, who has a 2.10 GAA and .925 save percentage on the year.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Nashville is 6-2 in its last eight after scoring five or more goals in its previous outing, while the Avs are just 9-25 in their last 34 road games vs. teams with an above .600 winning percentage. Lay the price.