The set-up: The Senators have been terrible defensively of late and I think that trend of futility gets carried over here. The Sens enter off a 7-4 loss at Dallas on Friday. The Rangers had won three in a row before a 5-3 loss to the Capitals at home on Saturday.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but the Rangers are 7-1 in their last eight at home and the home team is 10-1 in the last 11 in this series. Look for these very strong trends to continue and lay this very reasonable price. Play on New York.