The set-up: All the pressure is on the Longhorns, as a victory in this one will ensure a spot in the Big 12 Championship game against Oklahoma. Kansas may not win this game outright, but I look for the Jayhawks to do everything they can to play spoiler. Longhorns' QB Sam Ehlinger was inured in last week's loss and he's questionable for this one. Overall the ‘Horns are averaging 32.4 PPG and they're allowing 25.9. Kansas looked "ok" in a 55-40 setback to Oklahoma last weekend. The Jayhawks enter averaging 24.5 PPG and allowing 30.5.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range and just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after two or more SU victories, while Kansas is 4-2 ATS in its last six off a loss vs. a conference rival. Grab the points.