The set-up: This is a big game, as the winner will claim a share of second place in the conference. Iowa State is 6-3 and it'll secure at least a fourth-place finish in the Big 12 with a win. The Cyclones are averaging 34.4 PPG during their five-game win streak. Texas avoided a three-game losing streak by besting Texas Tech 41-34 last weekend. QB Sam Ehlinger was sharp with 312 yards and a career high four TD passes and I think he'll carry that momentum over here in this crucial game in front of the home town crowd.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Texas is 12-5-2 ATS in its last 19 vs. teams with a record above .500. The Longhorns secondary catches a break this week facing the run heavy Cyclones. I have hard time seeing Iowa State matching pace down the stretch. Lay the points.

8* play