The set-up: It's essentially do or die for the Lions today. Detroit comes in off back to back losses and despite sending receiver Golden Tate to Philly, I think Matt Stafford and company will give the home side everything it can handle. The Bears have two in a row, but I'll caution in reading too much into those victories, as it came against the lowly Jets and Bills.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit is already 3-1 ATS this season as an underdog, while Chicago is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following two or more SU victories. Grab the points.