The set-up: This is a great "situational" play in my opinion. San Antonio comes in off back-to-back losses and it looks primed for a letdown with a tough Western trip starting on Monday in my opinion. Houston will look to take advantage and to get back on track after a listless effort in OKC last time out, snapping a three-game slide. But with a tough game tomorrow night at home against the Pacers, James Harden and company aren't going to want to leave anything to chance here.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a SU/ATS road loss and playing another road game right after. Play on the Rockets.