The set-up: Denver enters off a 115-107 home win over Boston on Monday, having to play from behind most of the game and then pulling away down the stretch for the another win and cover. The Nuggets have been the biggest surprise in the early going, but I think they're going to run out of gas here against a Grizzlies team which may only be 5-4 overall, but which is a perfect 3-0 at home.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Denver is still just 7-12 ATS in its last 19 after three or more consecutive victories, while Memphis is 12-9 ATS in its last 21 after plaint three consecutive road games. Grab the points.