The set-up: Nashville enters off a 1-00 home win over Boston, while Colorado will look to get back on track after a 7-6 OT road loss to Vancouver. Nashville has had the Avs "number" of late, winning all four regular season games last year, and then going on to knock off Colorado in six games of the first round of the playoffs. Nashville is the top defensive team in the league, allowing only 2.14 GPG. Pekka Rinne is 5-1 with a 1.68 GAA and he's 2-0 with a 2.18 GAA on the road. Colorado is ranked second in scoring with 3.71 GPG, but it's been decent defensively as well by allowing 2.79. Avs' net minder Semyon Varlamov is 2-2 with a 1.76 GAA at home thus far.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Nashville has seen the total go "under" in 15 of its last 23 road games when the total is set at six or higher, while Colorado has seen the total go "under" in 13 of its last 21 after playing three consecutive road games. Play the "under."