The set-up: The Flyers enter off a 5-2 road win over LA and I think they'll have their hands full here today against a Sharks side looking to rebound at home after a 4-1 loss at Columbus. And note that San Jose already smoked Philadelphia 8-2 earlier in the year. Philly is averaging three goals per game and allowing 3.8. Goaltender Brian Elliot is 4-5 with a poor 3.10 GAA. San Jose has lost two in a row, most recently a 4-1 setback to the Blue Jackets. The home side sends Martin Jones in net and he's 5-3-1 with a sharp 2.66 GAA. San Jose comes in averaging 3.2 GPG and allowing 2.9.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Jose is 4-1 in its last five following a loss by three goals or more, while Philadelphia is 0-8 in its last eight after scoring five or or more goals in its previous game. I think the home side bounces back in this favorable spot. Lay the price.