The set-up: NC State looks ripe for the picking here after back to back losses to Clemson and Syracuse. The Seminoles will be out to atone for their embarrassing 59-10 setback at home to Clemson last weekend. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do believe the stage is set for a competitive battle.

The teams: The Seminoles looked terrible offensively last week, as QB Deondre Francois was sacked five times and he'd finish with just 180 yards and an INT. The Seminoles though have responded well in this spot for bettors for years though, going 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 after scoring less than 20 points in their previous contest.

Last week NC State QB Ryan Finley threw for 473 yards, three TD's and an INT in the shootout loss to Syracuse. The Wolfpack defense has been exposed and I think it'll have its hands full with this hungry Seminoles' side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but NC State is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five following a SU/ATS loss. Grab the points and expect a "nail biter."