The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided mis-matches on the mound and there's no question that this is one of them. In fact I feel that the talent-gap is so great between these starting pitchers, that I have no issues at all in laying this larger price. The visitors go with Homer Bailey, while the home side goes with Jameson Taillon.

The pitchers: Bailey is so far 1-13 with a 6.13 ERA. He most recently was shelled for seven runs off nine hits over five innings in a loss to St. Louis on Friday. To go along with his atrocious ERA, Bailey also owns a poor 1.65 WHIP and note that he's just 1-7 with a 5.94 ERA on the road.

Taillon is so far 11-9 with a 3.45 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs over seven innings while striking out seven in a 3-2 win over the Braves on Friday.

The pick: Taillon comes in smoking hot, having posted seven straight quality starts to go along with a sharp 2.64 ERA and 37:9 K/BB over 47.2 frames during that stretch. Look for Taillon to come in focused on the task at hand and lay this price without any worries.