The set-up: KC won the AFC West last year with a 10-6 record, but then it fell 22-21 at home to Tennessee in the Wild Card round. LA went 9-7 last year, but missed the playoffs. Note that this a "double revenge" game for the Chargers though after the Chiefs took both games last season.

The teams: Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes was 22 of 35 for 284 yards, no TD's and an INT in his limited time last year. KC's ground game looks strong though with Kareem Hunt, who had 1,327 rushing yards and eight scores, along with 53 catches for 455 yards and three more TD's. Travis Kelce will also be leaned upon heavily after finishing with 1,038 yards and eight TD's last season.

The Chargers go with veteran QB Philip Rivers, who had 4,515 yards, 28 TD's and ten INT's last year. RB Melvin Gordon had 1,105 rushing yards and eight TD's, along with 476 receiving yards and another four TD's. WR Keenan Allen had 1,393 yards receiving and six TD's.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but the Chargers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Week 1 games and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games overall, while KC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. I'm banking on Rivers easily out duelling Mahomes. Lay the points.