The set-up: This match-up on the mound features two starters who have seen better days. I absolutely think that each will get the hook early, which will ultimately help in pushing this total "over," sooner rather than later. The visitors go with Mike Fulmer, while the home side goes with Danny Duffy.

The pitchers: Fulmer is so far 3-9 with a 4.32 ERA. He looked decent against the tooth-less White Sox in his first start back from the DL last week, but overall it's been a disappointing season for Fulmer, who is just 2-3 with a terrible 5.51 ERA on the road.

Duffy is so far 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA. He most recently gave up two earned runs off six hits with two walks while striking out seven over five innings in a no-decision to the light-hitting Rays on Thursday. It was his first start back from the DL as well. Note that in two starts prior to getting injured he was shelled for 12 earned runs over 10.1 innings in early August.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine road day games in which the line in the contest is set between +125 and -125. This number is a little low, play the "over."