The set-up: This series features a couple of competitive match-ups and this is one of them in my opinion. I think runs are going to be at a premium in this inter-league contest on Sunday. The visitors hand the ball to Vince Velasquez, while the home side goes with Marco Estrada.

The teams: Velasquez is so far 8-9 with a 4.06 ERA. While he's struggled a bit of late, overall the hard-throwing right-hander has been solid overall this year, especially on the road where he owns a sharp 2.77 ERA to this point.

Estrada is so far 7-9 with a 4.88 ERA. He comes in off back-to-back decent outings and note that he's been at his best in all "day" games this season with a 2-2, 3.11 ERA.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Blue Jays have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 day home games in which the line in the contest is set between -150 and +150. This number is too high, play the "under."