The set-up: This National League contest has "slug-fest" written all over in my opinion. The visitors go with Anthony DeSclafani on the mound, while the home side goes with Cole Hamels.

The pitchers: DeSclafani is so far 6-3 with a 4.12 ERA. He's been better of late, but note that he's still a pedestrian 2-3 with a 4.62 ERA in all "night" games this year.

Hamels is so far 8-9 with a 4.00 ERA. Hamels enters off his first shaky start for his new team, but overall the veteran has been sharp since coming over from the Rangers. Hamels has been anything but a "safe-bet" in all "home" situations this year though, coming in with a terrible 1-7, 6.01 ERA in all such instances.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Reds have seen the total go "over" the number in 13 of their last 21 road games as an underdog in the -150 to -200 range. I think that it's very possible that Hamels' early shiny numbers for Chicago are completely unsustainable. I'm also not confident that DeSclafani has "turned any corners" quite yet either. Look for this one to sneak "over" as it comes down the stretch.