The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided mismatches on the mound and this is definitely one of them. In fact I think the talent-gap is so large, that it makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. The visitors go with Zack Greinke, while the home side goes with Brett Kennedy.

The pitchers: Greinke is so far 12-8 with a 3.00 ERA. He most recently gave up four runs off six hits with two walks over 6.1 innings in a loss to Texas on Monday. Previous to this sub-par effort he'd allow two runs or fewer in nine straight trips to the hill. No need to overreact. Note that Greinke is still a solid 7-5 with a 3.50 ERA on the road as well.

Kennedy is so far 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA. He most recently allowed five runs off nine hits and a walk while striking out two over five frames in a setback to the Angels on Tuesday. Kennedy has now given up 11 runs off 20 hits over nine innings in the big leagues.

The pick: I like Greinke to come in focused on the task at hand and because of that, I'm laying this price. Play on the Diamondbacks.