The set-up: This series features a couple of interesting match-ups on the mound and this is one of them. For a number of different reasons though, I think this one favors the Mariners and their flame-thrower James Paxton. The home side sends Mike Fiers to the hill tonight.

The pitchers: Paxton is so far 10-5 with a 3.63 ERA. He most recently gave up three runs off eight hits over seven innings in a loss to Toronto on Saturday, striking out seven and walking only one. That's now back-to-back strong performances for Paxton and note that he's been super solid in all "night" games with the 8-2, 3.19 ERA record to this point as well.

Fiers is so far 7-6 with a 3.40 ERA. Fiers looked admirable in his first start for his new team in a tough match-up throwing opposite Dodgers' ace Clayton Kershaw and he enters on a nice streak overall, but I think that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one tonight.

The pick: And that's because the Mariners are a superb 7-2 in their last nine when on the road and the line in the game is set between -150 and +150. I think Paxton is the correct call here. Fiers is poised for a letdown and I like the hard-hitting visiting side to take advantage. Play on Seattle.