The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided match-ups on the mound and this is one of them. The talent gap is so great though in my opinion, that it makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. The visitors hand the ball to Edwin Jackson, while the home side goes with Tyler Skaggs.


The pitchers: Jackson is so far 3-2 with a 2.87 ERA. He most recently gave up one run off five hits over six innings in a victory over the light-hitting Tigers on Saturday. In 2017 Jackson was just 5-6 with a 5.21 ERA. He's been great in 2018, but I think his numbers are unsustainable and I expect some predictable regression sooner, rather than later.


Skaggs is so far 8-7 with a 3.34 ERA. Skaggs returns from the ten-day DL to make this start. In his previous outing he was rocked for ten runs against the Rays. Outings like that though have been few and far between for Skaggs this season and I'm expecting him to bounce back her win friendly confines, a place that he's already posted a very respectable 3.22 ERA to this point.


The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 7-2 in its last nine as a home favorite in the -125 to -200 range. I think Jackson regresses and I like Skaggs to bounce back. Lay the price.