The set-up: This series features a couple of lop-sided match-ups on the mound, and this is one of them. For a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Mariners go with Marco Gonzalez on the hill, while the Rangers go with Yovani Gallardo.

The pitchers: Gonzales is so far 12-6 with a 3.46 ERA. He most recently gave up four runs off seven hits while striking out seven over seven innings in a loss to Toronto on Friday. The setback snapped a five-game win streak in which he posted a 2.18 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. Note that he's still 7-4 with a 3.80 ERA on the road.

Gallardo is so far 6-1 with a 6.51 ERA. He earned a win last time out against the Orioles on Thursday despite allowing five earned runs off nine hits over 5.1 frames of work. The beleaguered right-hander has now given up multiple walks in six of his eight starts this year and to go along with his atrocious ERA, he also owns a deplorable 1.62 WHIP.

The pick: Gallardo's win/loss record is not indicative of how he's thrown this year as he's been the beneficiary of some weak match-ups and a lot of support. I expect those two things to come to an end here against the Mariners' big bats and the consistent play of Gonzalez. Lay the price, play on Seattle.